Segunda B Play-Offs Promotion Playoff Round 3

Burgos vs AgD Ceuta analysis

Burgos AgD Ceuta
60 ELO 62
-13% Tilt -17.8%
733º General ELO ranking 19535º
41º Country ELO ranking 5799º
ELO win probability
38.5%
Burgos
26%
Draw
35.5%
AgD Ceuta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
Burgos
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.6%
Win probability
AgD Ceuta
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Burgos
AgD Ceuta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burgos
Burgos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2001
AGD
AgD Ceuta
0 - 1
Burgos
BUR
58%
23%
19%
59 63 4 0
18 May. 2001
BUR
Burgos
3 - 1
CE Sabadell
SAB
44%
26%
30%
58 58 0 +1
13 May. 2001
BUR
Burgos
1 - 2
CD Calahorra
CLH
53%
26%
21%
59 52 7 -1
05 May. 2001
AUR
CD Aurrera Vitoria
0 - 1
Burgos
BUR
27%
31%
42%
58 48 10 +1
29 Apr. 2001
BUR
Burgos
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés B
ALA
54%
26%
21%
58 51 7 0

Matches

AgD Ceuta
AgD Ceuta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2001
AGD
AgD Ceuta
0 - 1
Burgos
BUR
58%
23%
19%
63 59 4 0
20 May. 2001
CDO
CD Ourense
0 - 3
AgD Ceuta
AGD
47%
24%
29%
61 62 1 +2
12 May. 2001
AGD
AgD Ceuta
4 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
65%
22%
13%
61 53 8 0
06 May. 2001
SFE
CD San Fernando
1 - 1
AgD Ceuta
AGD
28%
26%
46%
61 48 13 0
29 Apr. 2001
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
56%
24%
19%
61 58 3 0