Burgan vs Al Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
4º
4º
25
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
YAR
2 - 1
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KAZ
1 - 0
BUR
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
ALS
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALS
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Al Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 3
ALT
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALS
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 2
ALS
9%
19%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
YAR
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
KHA
3 - 2
ALS
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |