Buochs vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
FCM
1 - 1
BUO
31%
23%
47%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BUO
2 - 1
LUZ
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BER
0 - 2
BUO
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BUO
1 - 1
DEL
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 0
BUO
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
THU
2 - 4
SOL
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 4
THU
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
THU
1 - 2
ZUG
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 4
THU
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
THU
3 - 0
MUN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |