Buochs vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 0
BUO
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BUO
1 - 3
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LSS
2 - 0
BUO
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BUO
1 - 3
EMM
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 5
BUO
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
LSS
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
RUS
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ZUG
1 - 1
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GOL
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |