Buochs vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
14º
3º
37
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 61 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 57 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 43 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 35 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 32 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 31 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 22 |
15º
|
48% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 2
BUO
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BUO
5 - 2
SCE
58%
20%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 2
BUO
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 2
LAC
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 0
BUO
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 2
FCT
37%
23%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 2
EMM
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EMM
3 - 2
FCS
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
4 - 1
EMM
46%
21%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 2
CHA
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |