Buño vs Carnota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
BUÑ
1 - 1
CAM
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUÑ
3 - 3
CAM
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 4
BUÑ
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BUÑ
1 - 1
MAZ
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SEA
0 - 0
BUÑ
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carnota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAZ
23%
22%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAI
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OUT
1 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |