Nurafshon vs Khotira-79 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nurafshon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 0
FKK
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
NUR
0 - 2
OLM
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
NUR
2 - 1
GIJ
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Khotira-79
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GIJ
0 - 0
HOT
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
HOT
0 - 3
MET
14%
18%
69%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PAK
3 - 0
HOT
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
HOT
2 - 0
FKK
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
HOT
0 - 3
OQT
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |