Bugesera vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
ASK
3 - 0
BUG
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
BUG
1 - 0
KIY
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
BUG
2 - 1
GIC
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
RAY
3 - 0
BUG
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BUG
1 - 1
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
APR
2 - 1
RAY
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
ETI
0 - 2
APR
23%
30%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
APR
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
APR
2 - 0
KIR
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MUS
0 - 2
APR
20%
29%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |