Bufala vs Sant Adrià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PDA
5 - 4
BUF
61%
18%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BUF
4 - 1
YTB
54%
20%
27%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DPG
3 - 2
BUF
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BUF
4 - 0
JUV
51%
20%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BBV
2 - 1
BUF
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Adrià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 6
BPA
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SGP
3 - 1
ADR
37%
21%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ADR
4 - 1
CAL
69%
16%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PDA
3 - 2
ADR
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 3
YTB
76%
14%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |