Bufala vs Gotic A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+839%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BUF
1 - 4
SPG
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PRE
4 - 2
BUF
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BUF
3 - 0
UBS
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 3
BUF
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BUF
1 - 4
TIA
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gotic A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GOT
1 - 1
PRE
49%
22%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UBS
0 - 3
GOT
35%
22%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GOT
3 - 0
PRE
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TIA
0 - 2
GOT
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GOT
1 - 2
MOP
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |