Bufala vs Cabrera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BAD
4 - 2
BUF
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 0
BUF
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
LLA
6 - 4
BUF
72%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
BUF
1 - 8
CAB
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BUF
1 - 6
ARG
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cabrera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
PRE
44%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 0
PRE
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 2
GRA
9%
14%
78%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
CAB
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 5
MAS
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |