Bufala vs Alella CF A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAS
3 - 8
BUF
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BUF
7 - 1
LLA
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BUF
5 - 3
ALE
58%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
3 - 3
BUF
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BUF
5 - 1
MOL
57%
20%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alella CF A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ACF
0 - 3
LLO
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VBM
1 - 5
ACF
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ACF
7 - 1
JOV
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAS
4 - 4
ACF
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ACF
2 - 2
LLA
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |