Buckie Thistle vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAI
3 - 8
BUC
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BUC
4 - 2
FOR
91%
7%
2%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STR
2 - 9
BUC
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BUC
4 - 0
CLA
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 8
ICT
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
FRA
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEV
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
3 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
INV
19%
22%
60%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 3
FOR
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |