Regionalliga Bayern Jor. 25

Buchbach vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis

Buchbach Viktoria Aschaffenburg
43 ELO 34
4.6% Tilt 6.3%
5810º General ELO ranking 5001º
199º Country ELO ranking 165º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Buchbach
20.2%
Draw
18.2%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
Buchbach
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.2%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Buchbach
+19%
-31%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

ELO progression

Buchbach
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Buchbach
Buchbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 1
Buchbach
BUC
54%
23%
24%
42 46 4 0
06 Mar. 2016
BUC
Buchbach
1 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
60%
21%
19%
44 38 6 -2
28 Nov. 2015
BUC
Buchbach
3 - 2
Bayern München II
BAY
26%
24%
50%
42 50 8 +2
21 Nov. 2015
SCH
Schalding-Heining
0 - 0
Buchbach
BUC
25%
23%
52%
43 34 9 -1
14 Nov. 2015
BUC
Buchbach
0 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
34%
26%
41%
44 50 6 -1

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2016
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 2
1860 München II
186
31%
25%
45%
36 46 10 0
05 Mar. 2016
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
49%
24%
27%
38 42 4 -2
27 Feb. 2016
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 5
Illertissen
ILL
34%
24%
42%
39 46 7 -1
28 Nov. 2015
AMB
Amberg
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
47%
24%
30%
39 42 3 0
21 Nov. 2015
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
3 - 3
FC Augsburg II
AUG
55%
22%
23%
39 38 1 0
X