Buchbach vs Chiemgau Traunstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 4
VIK
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
BUC
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 0
TAM
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ANS
1 - 4
BUC
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
EIC
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chiemgau Traunstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CTR
1 - 0
HOL
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
VRG
4 - 2
CTR
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CTR
0 - 3
BUC
20%
23%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
UNT
0 - 0
CTR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CTR
1 - 0
LAN
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |