Regionalliga Bayern Round 36

Buchbach vs FC Augsburg II analysis

Buchbach FC Augsburg II
43 ELO 36
16.1% Tilt 8.4%
2275º General ELO ranking 2782º
100º Country ELO ranking 124º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Buchbach
19.4%
Draw
16.7%
FC Augsburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Buchbach
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.7%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Buchbach
+29%
-11%
FC Augsburg II

ELO progression

Buchbach
FC Augsburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Buchbach
Buchbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
4 - 0
Buchbach
BUC
38%
24%
38%
44 37 7 0
30 Apr. 2013
FRO
VfL Frohnlach
0 - 2
Buchbach
BUC
25%
23%
52%
44 34 10 0
26 Apr. 2013
BUC
Buchbach
4 - 0
Seligenporten
SEL
69%
17%
13%
43 35 8 +1
23 Apr. 2013
186
1860 München II
3 - 1
Buchbach
BUC
53%
23%
24%
44 49 5 -1
20 Apr. 2013
RAI
Rain / Lech
3 - 2
Buchbach
BUC
31%
25%
44%
45 38 7 -1

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 3
Nürnberg II
NUR
32%
25%
44%
39 47 8 0
30 Apr. 2013
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 1
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
53%
21%
26%
40 37 3 -1
27 Apr. 2013
ROS
Rosenheim
2 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
38%
26%
36%
41 40 1 -1
20 Apr. 2013
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 0
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
38%
25%
37%
40 46 6 +1
12 Apr. 2013
MEM
Memmingen
2 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
42%
25%
33%
41 39 2 -1