Bubendorf vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
13º
12º
22
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 0
BUB
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 2
BIN
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 0
MUT
12%
15%
73%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZOF
3 - 0
BUB
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BUB
1 - 3
RSZ
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
RSZ
5 - 0
FCG
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 1
ZOF
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 3
FCG
15%
17%
69%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 1
FCG
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |