Bubali vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
BUB
1 - 2
RCA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BUB
1 - 5
BRI
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JTL
1 - 4
BUB
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
DAK
1 - 1
BUB
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 8
BUB
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
BRI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DAK
3 - 4
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
RCA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
JTL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |