BSV Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
7º
2º
56
3º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Kickers Emden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
BSV
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 2
HAV
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
3 - 1
BSV
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
JED
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
MEP
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 9
FCP
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
EIN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 1
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
LUB
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |