Brusque vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
BRU
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
TOM
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
BRU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |