Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 2-2
Brusque vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 0
OPE
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
BRU
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRU
22%
25%
52%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
XVD
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 0
ITU
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
ECS
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ECS
4 - 0
PST
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
PST
1 - 3
ECS
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ECS
4 - 0
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |