Brøndby IF vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
2º
2º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 19 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 18 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 16 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 14 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 11 |
5º
|
67% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MID
0 - 2
BIF
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BIF
2 - 2
SIF
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
RAN
4 - 2
BIF
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
BIF
1 - 1
LYN
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
VEJ
2 - 2
BIF
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 0
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VEJ
3 - 2
AGF
23%
26%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
VFF
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |