Bromsgrove Sporting vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
HED
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 2
ROY
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
6 - 0
WOR
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
HIT
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
LOU
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
3 - 3
HYT
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BED
1 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 4
STN
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 1
MUL
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MUL
2 - 2
WEL
33%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |