FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 5-2
Bromsgrove Sporting vs Rocester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RUG
1 - 0
BRO
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HEA
0 - 3
BRO
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 5 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 6
HIN
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GOR
1 - 2
BRO
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
KIN
1 - 0
BRO
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rocester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
ROC
4 - 1
BUR
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
ROC
71%
16%
12%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
AFC
16%
19%
64%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BED
3 - 2
ROC
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 2
ROC
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |