Combined Counties League Western League Premier Round 29

Brixham AFC vs St Blazey analysis

Brixham AFC St Blazey
22 ELO 18
0.4% Tilt -3.8%
11455º General ELO ranking 15456º
647º Country ELO ranking 833º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Brixham AFC
19.7%
Draw
21.9%
St Blazey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
Brixham AFC
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
21.9%
Win probability
St Blazey
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brixham AFC
+25%
+8%
St Blazey

ELO progression

Brixham AFC
St Blazey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brixham AFC
Brixham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
3 - 0
Ilfracombe Town
ILF
55%
21%
25%
21 19 2 0
16 Mar. 2024
HEA
Helston Athletic
2 - 0
Brixham AFC
BFC
79%
13%
9%
20 34 14 +1
09 Mar. 2024
OLD
Oldland Abbotonians
1 - 3
Brixham AFC
BFC
18%
19%
63%
20 12 8 0
06 Mar. 2024
STB
St Blazey
1 - 3
Brixham AFC
BFC
52%
21%
27%
20 20 0 0
02 Mar. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
0 - 1
Bridgwater United
BRI
19%
19%
62%
21 33 12 -1

Matches

St Blazey
St Blazey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2024
SHE
Shepton Mallet
3 - 1
St Blazey
STB
62%
19%
19%
19 24 5 0
06 Mar. 2024
STB
St Blazey
1 - 3
Brixham AFC
BFC
52%
21%
27%
20 20 0 -1
24 Feb. 2024
STB
St Blazey
0 - 3
Buckland Athletic
BUC
35%
22%
44%
22 26 4 -2
03 Feb. 2024
STB
St Blazey
2 - 3
Street FC
STR
45%
22%
34%
22 24 2 0
31 Jan. 2024
STB
St Blazey
4 - 1
Falmouth Town
AFC
23%
21%
55%
20 33 13 +2