Combined Counties League Western League Premier Round 8

Brixham AFC vs Shepton Mallet analysis

Brixham AFC Shepton Mallet
21 ELO 25
-0.2% Tilt -0.3%
12250º General ELO ranking 12772º
693º Country ELO ranking 733º
ELO win probability
24.2%
Brixham AFC
21.5%
Draw
54.3%
Shepton Mallet

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
Brixham AFC
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.3%
Win probability
Shepton Mallet
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brixham AFC
+25%
+4%
Shepton Mallet

ELO progression

Brixham AFC
Shepton Mallet
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brixham AFC
Brixham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
5 - 0
Oldland Abbotonians
OLD
80%
12%
7%
18 11 7 0
16 Sep. 2023
WEL
Welton Rovers
3 - 1
Brixham AFC
BFC
58%
19%
23%
18 20 2 0
09 Sep. 2023
CLE
Clevedon Town
1 - 0
Brixham AFC
BFC
81%
12%
8%
18 28 10 0
02 Sep. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
3 - 1
Helston Athletic
HEA
9%
15%
77%
12 37 25 +6
29 Aug. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
1 - 1
Saltash United
SAL
8%
14%
78%
11 30 19 +1

Matches

Shepton Mallet
Shepton Mallet
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
BAR
Barnstaple Town
2 - 2
Shepton Mallet
SHE
81%
12%
8%
26 37 11 0
09 Sep. 2023
SHE
Shepton Mallet
1 - 5
Helston Athletic
HEA
28%
22%
50%
27 35 8 -1
02 Sep. 2023
MLB
Millbrook
0 - 4
Shepton Mallet
SHE
19%
21%
60%
26 17 9 +1
29 Aug. 2023
SHE
Shepton Mallet
1 - 3
Nailsea and Tickenham
NAT
81%
13%
7%
27 15 12 -1
26 Aug. 2023
SHE
Shepton Mallet
2 - 2
Brixham AFC
BFC
87%
9%
4%
27 10 17 0