Combined Counties League Western League Premier Round 23

Brixham AFC vs Bridgwater United analysis

Brixham AFC Bridgwater United
20 ELO 34
-0.7% Tilt -3.3%
11263º General ELO ranking 10255º
608º Country ELO ranking 514º
ELO win probability
19.1%
Brixham AFC
18.8%
Draw
62.1%
Bridgwater United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
Brixham AFC
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.1%
Win probability
Bridgwater United
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brixham AFC
+29%
-8%
Bridgwater United

ELO progression

Brixham AFC
Bridgwater United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brixham AFC
Brixham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
AFC
Falmouth Town
2 - 0
Brixham AFC
BFC
65%
18%
17%
22 29 7 0
27 Jan. 2024
SAL
Saltash United
1 - 3
Brixham AFC
BFC
52%
21%
28%
22 22 0 0
20 Jan. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
2 - 2
Street FC
STR
45%
22%
33%
23 24 1 -1
06 Jan. 2024
ILF
Ilfracombe Town
0 - 0
Brixham AFC
BFC
35%
22%
43%
24 21 3 -1
26 Dec. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
2 - 2
Buckland Athletic
BUC
32%
22%
46%
24 29 5 0

Matches

Bridgwater United
Bridgwater United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
BUC
Buckland Athletic
4 - 3
Bridgwater United
BRI
24%
20%
56%
36 24 12 0
27 Jan. 2024
OLD
Oldland Abbotonians
1 - 7
Bridgwater United
BRI
11%
16%
74%
37 12 25 -1
06 Jan. 2024
AFC
Falmouth Town
0 - 1
Bridgwater United
BRI
38%
22%
40%
37 34 3 0
30 Dec. 2023
BRI
Bridgwater United
0 - 1
Clevedon Town
CLE
55%
20%
25%
38 35 3 -1
26 Dec. 2023
WEL
Wellington
1 - 2
Bridgwater United
BRI
12%
16%
72%
38 18 20 0