Briton Ferry vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
2º
33
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 4
BRI
24%
22%
53%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 5
BRI
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 2
SUF
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 2
BRI
19%
22%
60%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 2
CWM
49%
20%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 0
SUF
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 3
CAR
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 3
GOY
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
LID
2 - 1
AAF
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |