League One Round 15

Bristol Rovers vs Bury analysis

Bristol Rovers Bury
61 ELO 59
4% Tilt -10%
3528º General ELO ranking 3450º
93º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Bristol Rovers
23.1%
Draw
17.8%
Bury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
Bury
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol Rovers
-13%
-3%
Bury

ELO progression

Bristol Rovers
Bury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 1999
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
48%
24%
28%
61 64 3 0
23 Oct. 1999
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Notts County
NOT
56%
23%
21%
62 60 2 -1
19 Oct. 1999
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
46%
28%
26%
61 62 1 +1
17 Oct. 1999
BRI
Bristol City
0 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
50%
26%
25%
61 59 2 0
09 Oct. 1999
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
63%
21%
16%
61 56 5 0

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 1999
TAM
Tamworth
2 - 2
Bury
BCF
33%
25%
42%
58 41 17 0
23 Oct. 1999
BCF
Bury
2 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
46%
27%
27%
58 61 3 0
20 Oct. 1999
REA
Reading
2 - 0
Bury
BCF
41%
28%
31%
59 53 6 -1
16 Oct. 1999
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 5
Bury
BCF
42%
28%
30%
58 52 6 +1
09 Oct. 1999
BCF
Bury
1 - 3
Notts County
NOT
52%
25%
23%
59 58 1 -1