Bristol City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 1
COV
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 0
EXE
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
BRI
4 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 1
PNE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BRI
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 2
AFC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
MKD
3 - 1
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 0
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 3
LUT
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEY
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |