Bristol City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
3 - 0
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 0
LEI
35%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEE
3 - 1
BRI
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SWA
0 - 1
BRI
56%
27%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 1
PNE
46%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
NOR
49%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DER
3 - 2
SCU
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEI
2 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
IPS
0 - 2
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |