Bristol City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 2
BRI
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
WOL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
COV
5 - 4
BRI
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STO
2 - 1
CRY
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 1
TOT
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 1
LAZ
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 0
CRY
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 3
GIL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |