Championship Temporada Regular. Jor. 31

Bristol City vs Birmingham City analysis

Bristol City Birmingham City
69 ELO 65
3.7% Tilt 10.9%
491º General ELO ranking 1214º
31º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Bristol City
23.2%
Draw
19.3%
Birmingham City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
Bristol City
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
Birmingham City
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol City
+4%
-2%
Birmingham City

ELO progression

Bristol City
Birmingham City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol City
Bristol City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2020
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
39%
25%
37%
69 64 5 0
28 Jan. 2020
REA
Reading
0 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
42%
25%
33%
69 67 2 0
18 Jan. 2020
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
51%
24%
25%
68 65 3 +1
14 Jan. 2020
STF
Shrewsbury Town
1 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
17%
20%
63%
69 60 9 -1
11 Jan. 2020
WIG
Wigan Athletic
0 - 2
Bristol City
BRI
24%
25%
50%
69 61 8 0

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2020
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Coventry City
COV
40%
24%
36%
64 66 2 0
01 Feb. 2020
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
31%
27%
42%
64 72 8 0
25 Jan. 2020
COV
Coventry City
0 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
41%
25%
34%
63 66 3 +1
21 Jan. 2020
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
47%
28%
25%
63 69 6 0
18 Jan. 2020
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
30%
26%
45%
63 71 8 0
X