Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 0
SYD
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
CCM
3 - 3
BRI
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 0
BRI
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 3
WPH
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
WPH
1 - 0
WES
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 2
WPH
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WPH
1 - 1
CCM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |