Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 0
WES
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
ADE
33%
26%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 3
MFC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 1
MFC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 2
WUF
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 3
SYD
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |