FA Cup . 1/256
Global 2-3
Brigg Town vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brigg Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 3
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
MIC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
4 - 2
ARN
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 2
BRI
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIN
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
COA
5 - 0
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
BOR
81%
12%
6%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
SHE
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |