Brestnik vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LUD
2 - 2
BRE
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 2
SPA
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 0
DOB
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
LYU
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NES
1 - 2
SVE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LYU
2 - 0
NES
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NES
1 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LUD
2 - 0
NES
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
NES
0 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |