Stade Brestois II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
14º
12º
30
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 2
SPM
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CES
0 - 1
BRE
49%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LOC
3 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
7 - 2
PLA
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +5 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
SBR
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOC
1 - 1
PON
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
PON
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
USF
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |