Serie B Round 21

Brescia vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Brescia Ternana Calcio
71 ELO 66
7.7% Tilt 3%
465º General ELO ranking 587º
34º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Brescia
21.7%
Draw
14.8%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
Brescia
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brescia
-3%
-2%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Brescia
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brescia
Brescia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2015
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 2
Brescia
BRE
44%
27%
29%
71 72 1 0
19 Dec. 2015
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
Spezia
SPE
46%
26%
28%
71 74 3 0
12 Dec. 2015
VIC
Vicenza
1 - 2
Brescia
BRE
40%
28%
33%
70 69 1 +1
08 Dec. 2015
BRE
Brescia
2 - 0
Pescara
PES
42%
26%
33%
70 73 3 0
04 Dec. 2015
ACD
Virtus Entella
0 - 0
Brescia
BRE
36%
27%
37%
70 66 4 0

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2015
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
46%
27%
27%
66 64 2 0
19 Dec. 2015
CES
Cesena
4 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
59%
24%
17%
67 73 6 -1
12 Dec. 2015
TER
Ternana Calcio
4 - 0
Como
COM
59%
24%
17%
66 57 9 +1
08 Dec. 2015
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
32%
28%
40%
67 57 10 -1
05 Dec. 2015
LEO
Pro Vercelli
1 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
41%
29%
30%
66 65 1 +1