Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1969 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
29%
31%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAR
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
31%
31%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
51%
29%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
40%
31%
30%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
REG
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
REG
38%
32%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |