League One . Jor. 22

Brentford vs Swindon Town analysis

Brentford Swindon Town
66 ELO 64
6.2% Tilt -3.7%
46º General ELO ranking 2804º
11º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Brentford
25.4%
Draw
24.3%
Swindon Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
Brentford
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.3%
Win probability
Swindon Town
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brentford
-1%
+4%
Swindon Town

ELO progression

Brentford
Swindon Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2013
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 3
Brentford
BRE
45%
26%
28%
65 63 2 0
14 Dec. 2013
BRE
Brentford
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
58%
23%
19%
65 60 5 0
07 Dec. 2013
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 2
Brentford
BRE
31%
25%
44%
66 53 13 -1
30 Nov. 2013
NOT
Notts County
0 - 1
Brentford
BRE
27%
27%
46%
65 53 12 +1
26 Nov. 2013
BRE
Brentford
3 - 2
Peterborough United
POS
38%
26%
36%
65 69 4 0

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2013
SWI
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Coventry City
COV
51%
25%
25%
64 62 2 0
14 Dec. 2013
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
38%
27%
35%
66 60 6 -2
10 Dec. 2013
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 1
Stevenage
STE
65%
20%
15%
66 56 10 0
30 Nov. 2013
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
69%
20%
11%
65 54 11 +1
26 Nov. 2013
CRA
Crawley Town
0 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
36%
27%
38%
66 59 7 -1
X