Brentford vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
SHW
1 - 3
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
CUM
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEY
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
HUR
27%
26%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 0
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BHA
2 - 1
SWI
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 0
SWI
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
DAG
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |