Brentford vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
POS
1 - 3
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 2
SWI
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PNE
0 - 3
BRE
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 0
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
POR
2 - 2
PLY
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
PNE
3 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MKD
3 - 0
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |