League One Round 2

Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis

Brentford Brighton & Hove Albion
64 ELO 59
-3.8% Tilt -6.4%
75º General ELO ranking 58º
12º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Brentford
23.3%
Draw
15.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
Brentford
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.7%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brentford
+7%
+2%
Brighton & Hove Albion

ELO progression

Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2009
BRE
Brentford
0 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
36%
26%
38%
64 72 8 0
08 Aug. 2009
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 3
Brentford
BRE
44%
26%
30%
64 60 4 0
02 May. 2009
BRE
Brentford
2 - 0
Luton Town
LUT
57%
24%
20%
63 59 4 +1
25 Apr. 2009
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 3
Brentford
BRE
49%
27%
25%
62 63 1 +1
21 Apr. 2009
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
3 - 1
Brentford
BRE
45%
26%
29%
63 59 4 -1

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2009
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
74%
18%
9%
59 75 16 0
08 Aug. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Walsall
WAL
54%
24%
21%
60 61 1 -1
02 May. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Stockport County
STO
50%
25%
25%
60 62 2 0
25 Apr. 2009
HUR
Huddersfield Town
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
64%
22%
14%
60 64 4 0
21 Apr. 2009
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
65%
22%
13%
59 66 7 +1