Bremer SV vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
15º
11º
40
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 74 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 69 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 59 |
4º
|
90% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 55 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 52 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 47 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
59% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
85.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bremer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 1
BRE
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
WEI
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MEP
0 - 1
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 1
HAV
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 2
KIL
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
EIN
2 - 4
HOL
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DRO
1 - 3
EIN
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
EIN
2 - 0
SVE
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 5
EIN
66%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ECK
0 - 5
EIN
11%
14%
74%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |