Breitenrain vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
4 - 2
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WAN
0 - 2
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 1
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
YFJ
3 - 2
TUG
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 1
ESC
48%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MEN
2 - 0
TUG
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUZ
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
DOR
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |