Breitenrain vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
FCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCB
3 - 1
BRE
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 3
BRE
4%
10%
87%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 1
BRE
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 1
LUZ
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAV
0 - 2
ETO
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAV
1 - 0
YFJ
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAV
1 - 3
YVE
16%
20%
65%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCB
2 - 1
BAV
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAV
0 - 3
FCZ
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |