Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
2º
18
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 40 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 39 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 38 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 33 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 32 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 29 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 28 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 27 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 24 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
95.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breidablik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 2
VES
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KAA
0 - 1
BRE
35%
24%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
BRE
3 - 3
KRR
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VES
0 - 1
BRE
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
STJ
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 1
THR
76%
15%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
VAL
6 - 1
IAA
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FHH
3 - 0
VAL
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
3 - 1
KAA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |