Urvalsdeild Normal Season Round 15

Breidablik vs Vestri analysis

Breidablik Vestri
77 ELO 65
19.3% Tilt 20.6%
961º General ELO ranking 2538º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
71.7%
Breidablik
17.4%
Draw
11%
Vestri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
Breidablik
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
Vestri
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Breidablik
-8%
+33%
Vestri

Points and table prediction

Breidablik
Their league position
Vestri
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
26
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Víkingur Reykjavík
38
41
60.5%
Valur Reykjavík
37
40
56%
Breidablik
32
38
42.5%
Stjarnan
34
37
53.5%
FH Hafnarfjordur
26
29
24%
Vestri
26
29
26%
KA Akureyri
26
29
22%
Fram
25
28
17.5%
ÍBV
25
28
16.5%
Afturelding
10º
24
27
10º
20%
KR Reykjavík
11º
23
26
11º
41%
ÍA Akranes
12º
16
20
12º
97.5%
Expected probabilities
Breidablik
Vestri
Play-offs for the title
100% 44.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 55.5%

ELO progression

Breidablik
Vestri
ÍBV
Víkingur Reykjavík
KR Reykjavík
ÍA Akranes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Breidablik
Breidablik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2025
BRE
Breidablik
5 - 0
KF Egnatia
EGN
61%
20%
19%
76 73 3 0
08 Jul. 2025
EGN
KF Egnatia
1 - 0
Breidablik
BRE
27%
23%
51%
76 72 4 0
03 Jul. 2025
AFT
Afturelding
2 - 2
Breidablik
BRE
26%
24%
50%
77 66 11 -1
27 Jun. 2025
STJ
Stjarnan
1 - 4
Breidablik
BRE
44%
24%
32%
77 76 1 0
23 Jun. 2025
BRE
Breidablik
1 - 1
Fram
FRA
65%
20%
15%
77 68 9 0

Matches

Vestri
Vestri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
VES
Vestri
0 - 0
Fram
FRA
31%
23%
46%
65 69 4 0
05 Jul. 2025
VES
Vestri
0 - 2
Valur Reykjavík
VAL
21%
23%
56%
65 77 12 0
29 Jun. 2025
VES
Vestri
0 - 2
ÍA Akranes
IAA
44%
25%
31%
66 63 3 -1
22 Jun. 2025
FHH
FH Hafnarfjordur
2 - 0
Vestri
VES
45%
25%
30%
67 65 2 -1
18 Jun. 2025
VES
Vestri
2 - 0
Thór
THO
48%
23%
30%
66 61 5 +1