Bregalnica Štip vs FK Pobeda Prilep analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
6º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SHK
3 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 0
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIK
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Pobeda Prilep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
POB
0 - 0
FKS
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
18%
27%
56%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POB
1 - 3
MAK
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 0
POB
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |